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Welcome to The Adversarial. Every other week, we’ll provide you with expert analysis on America’s greatest challengers: China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, and jihadists. Read more below.***IranIn the space of less than 11 hours on April 7, President Donald Trump went from warning that “a whole civilization will die tonight” to announcing a two-week ceasefire with Iran. That whiplash-inducing turn was just a taste of the twists that would follow over the coming week. First came a resumption of negotiations mediated by Pakistan. With the presence of Vice President J.D.

Imagine holding 96 kites in one hand with a single line. Not controlling each one,  but controlling the wind itself. You set the intent, you pick the direction, and the kites will figure out how not to crash into each other.
That is the exact analogy Chinese state television used in March 2026 to describe what their new Atlas drone swarm system can do, and it might be the most honest thing Beijing has said about its military in years.

An Australian Federal Court has dismissed an appeal by former US Marine Daniel Duggan, clearing the way for his extradition to the United States, where he faces charges of illegally training Chinese military pilots more than a decade ago.
Federal Court Justice James Stellios rejected Duggan’s challenge on Thursday, ruling there was no jurisdictional error in the Attorney-General’s decision to approve the extradition.

As an educator, I have the duty and privilege of teaching some of the most intense and consequential moments in American history. Few lessons capture students’ attention quite like the Cuban Missile Crisis.
For 13 tense days in October 1962, the United States and Soviet Union stood on the brink of nuclear war. In classrooms across the country, students learn how close the world came to catastrophe and how leadership, intelligence gathering, and diplomacy ultimately helped prevent a devastating conflict.