Here’s a fact that does not exactly inspire confidence, at least until we really dig into what this may or may not mean: China’s navy is now larger than the U.S. Navy.
That point is repeated so often that it has begun to stand in for analysis.
It shouldn’t.
Fleet size, taken on its own, tells us very little about the question that actually matters: whether the United States can bring effective naval power to bear in the Western Pacific when it needs to.
That is the issue on which any serious contingency in the region would turn.