Author: Michael

President Donald Trump’s return to the White House has revived a familiar anxiety across Europe and Taiwan: How reliable is the United States when its partners’ core interests are at stake? Trump’s governing style is marked by transactional diplomacy, hostility toward multilateral institutions, tariff-driven economic statecraft, and a willingness to publicly berate allies. Taken individually, none of these features is unprecedented. Together, they create a narrative environment that China is learning how to exploit.

Read More

Prediction markets have proven remarkably effective at aggregating dispersed information across many domains. From technology product launches to election forecasting, they often outperform expert predictions. But when applied to military operations, these same mechanisms create categorically different risks. Now Ukrainian volunteers, Russian military bloggers, and American security clearance holders alike can convert insider knowledge of military operations into profit through pseudonymous crypto wallets.At 2 a.m. local time on Jan. 3, 2026, explosions echoed across Caracas.

Read More

The U.S. Navy Nimitz class supercarrier USS Abraham Lincoln and its Carrier Strike Group on January 20 completed a transit through the Malacca Strait, after prematurely concluding operations in the 7th Fleet area of operations, particularly in the South China Sea, to redirect towards the 5th Fleet area in the Middle East. The redirection of the carrier group represents part of a much broader U.S.

Read More