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Ukraine Is Confident – But Will It Change the Outcome of the War?: During the early days of the war, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy spent an enormous amount of time pleading with Western governments for permission to strike targets deep inside Russia. At the time, U.S. President Joe Biden and European leaders were concerned that using long-range weapons that they had supplied to strike targets deep inside Russia could trigger a dangerous escalation and widen the conflict beyond Ukraine’s borders.

As Ukraine has been ramping up its drone operations against Moscow, more and more Ukrainian drones are ending up where they don’t belong. Most recently, a drone was shot down over Latvian airspace by NATO air forces. These reports have emerged following several other instances of drones showing up in other NATO countries. The recent incidents have sparked fears among some Baltic nations that the war may spread beyond Ukraine’s borders and lead to a broader escalation.

Ukrainian Drones in NATO Airspace

Eurofighter Typhoon Test Flight in 2013. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

The Joint Strike Missile (JSM) is a weapon specifically designed to fit inside the F-35 Lightning II’s internal weapons bay while preserving that fifth-generation multirole warplane’s stealth characteristics. The contract, designed by Kongsberg Defense & Aerospace, is worth $240.9 million. The contract covers missile production, containers, test hardware, and support equipment. Work will run through late 2028 on this new system.

What is the JSM?

U.S. Air Force Maj.

Now that the world has awoken to the complete breakdown of the ceasefire between the United States, the Islamic Republic of Iran, and Israel, US President Donald Trump is pleading with two medium-sized Mideast powers to return to the deal. The question remains: how can the Americans sustain even a semblance of a ceasefire between these two warring parties?

Whereas before Trump’s disastrous second term in office (made disastrous only because of his pathetic handling of the Iran War), the US was clearly the senior partner in the US-Israeli relationship.

F-15C Fighter on the Tarmac.

Summary and Key Points: Iran has halted its strikes on Israel, and the relief is widely shared: Washington calls it a success, Israel says pressure worked, and the commentary has moved on. It may be moving too fast. There is another reading of why Tehran stopped — one that has nothing to do with losing. Iran may have concluded that it had already accomplished what it had come to do. It never needed to actually close the Strait of Hormuz; the lingering threat alone was enough to rattle shipping firms, insurers, and energy markets, sending crude prices jumping overnight before easing.

Europe’s economy depends on middle distillates – refined petroleum products that are obtained in the middle boiling range during crude oil distillation. Diesel, specifically, fuels much of the continent’s trucking industry and manufacturing and agriculture sectors, while jet fuel keeps its aviation market moving. Yet both of these fuels are now becoming increasingly difficult to secure as the war in Iran continues to disrupt global energy markets.

Europe consumes roughly 1.6 million barrels of jet fuel every day, but domestic refineries produce only about 1.1 million barrels.

Welcome to The Ukraine Compass, a weekly digest of Ukrainian commentary and analysis from across the political spectrum only for War on the Rocks members. Each Monday, we bring you a curated selection of articles from Ukrainian media offering insight into how Ukrainians themselves debate the issues shaping their country.American coverage often narrows the view to the battlefield — these pieces widen it, revealing the texture of daily life, politics, and public argument in a nation at war.

As if Russian President Vladimir Putin needed any more embarrassing news about his disastrous war with Ukraine, the latest fiasco is an even deeper blow.

Ukrainian drones struck energy and military sites in St Petersburg on Wednesday, hours before a large international economic forum gathered in the city.

Lancet Drone. Image Credit: Russian State Media.

Lancet Drone from Russia. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

As Russia offers large signing bonuses and high salaries to attract new military recruits for its war in Ukraine, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has stepped in to address the issue and encourage young men to reject the offer. During a visit to Kyiv last week, Rutte said that young Russian men are being sent into a warzone without the necessary training and equipment to keep them safe, adding that they face a high likelihood of being killed or injured.

Rutte’s Message to Russian Families

T-14 Armata Tank Russia. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

T-14 Armata.

A Navy veteran is one of three men recently arrested for allegedly trying to pay more than $2,000 to a person whom they thought was a member of the Islamic State group, or ISIS, to buy rocket-propelled grenades and drones for an attack against U.S. troops overseas, officials said.
Bareen Dzayee, 25, was taken into custody on June 5 along with two other men, a Justice Department news release says. Prosecutors claim Dzayee suggested the drone attack target U.S. Special Forces, according to the Justice Department, according to the Justice Department.