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Welcome to The Adversarial. Every other week, we’ll provide you with expert analysis on America’s greatest challengers: China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, and jihadists. Read more below.***IranIn late September, U.S. and Iranian negotiators engaged in indirect talks for the first time since the memorandum of understanding they struck in June fell apart. On Oct. 8, U.S. President Donald Trump said “productive discussions” were underway. But it will take some doing to break the deadlock.

Iran’s Hormuz Attacks Have an Eye On The Midterms – Iran can read a calendar, and they know what is right around the corner.

With less than a month until Americans head to the polls for the midterm elections, Tehran is turning up the heat in the Strait of Hormuz. The Washington Post reported that Iran hit at least nine vessels in the strait last week, a level of violence not seen in months, according to United Nations data and the maritime tracking firm Kpler. 

(Oct.

President Donald Trump may face a problem more consequential than his falling approval ratings: his own supporters’ lack of enthusiasm for voting in November’s midterms.

A new Reuters/Ipsos survey reveals a substantial enthusiasm gap between the two presidential coalitions from 2024. Among voters who backed Kamala Harris, 48% say they’re very enthusiastic about voting November 3, but among voters who backed Donald Trump, just 30% report enthusiasm.

Might Trump Strike Iran After All? – U.S. President Donald Trump may have publicly ruled out new military strikes against Iran before the midterm elections, but the security situation in the Middle East suggests that another strike could still be imminent.

Warnings from American diplomats, on top of continued attacks on commercial shipping and a worsening missile campaign against Saudi Arabia, have created an environment in which it looks difficult for the United States to refrain from launching new attacks.

No… Donald Trump Can’t Do Much More to Lower Fuel Prices – U.S. President Donald Trump is seeking to lower gasoline and diesel prices ahead of next month’s midterm elections.

The cost of both commodities has soared in recent months, and Trump faces growing calls to act as the war in Iran just won’t come to an end.

Generic Oil Tanker Image. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

Oil Platform. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

Not just drivers notice the price hikes at the pump. When fuel costs rise, retailers pass them on to consumers at the grocery store.

Marco Rubio Says Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine has Reached a Stalemate: Russia agrees with comments from Marco Rubio that its full-scale invasion of Ukraine has reached a stalemate, according to Kremlin spokesman Dimitry Peskov.

The U.S. Secretary of State said the war had reached a “stalemate” on a visit to NATO-ally Portugal on Thursday, 8th October.

President Donald J. Trump welcomes Russian President Vladimir Putin to Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson, Anchorage, Alaska, August 15, 2025 (DoD photo by Benjamin Applebaum)

President Donald J.

Donald Trump was, as everyone remembers, impeached twice during his first term as president, both of them after Democrats took control of the House in the 2018 midterm elections.

Neither of those impeachments resulted in Trump being removed from office, nor did they prevent Trump from returning to office for a second term.

President Donald Trump participates in the swearing-in ceremony for Administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Mehmet Oz, Friday, April 18, 2025, in the Oval Office.

A B-1B Lancer is prepared for flight at a base supporting U.S. Central Command, April 2026. Photo: U.S. Air Force / Airman 1st Class Addison Bolt via Wikimedia Commons (Public Domain)

Aircraft parked on the open ramp are among the most valuable assets on any airfield, and among the most exposed to damage from cheap, small drones. The Department of War and the Air Force are building a layered solution of new guidance, new units, new equipment, and a stream of tests on the flightline to protect those assets.