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Marco Rubio has a word for the war in Ukraine. Stalemate.

The US Secretary of State told reporters in Lisbon on Thursday that the Russia-Ukraine war has hit a stalemate and that the Trump administration doesn’t see a military solution coming.

Tu-22M Backfire Bomber from Russia. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

Tu-22M3 Russian Bomber. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

As Politico reported, Rubio warned that “stalemates are very dangerous” and said the administration believes the war must end in a negotiated settlement, “the sooner the better.

President Donald Trump may not be on the ballot this November. Still, his party’s candidates’ overall performance will be heavily influenced by the decisions he made in the first half of his second term.

A succession of polls shows that the American people and even his own voters are turning on him over his handling of the war with Iran and the economic fallout of that conflict, and new interviews also show exactly how those voters are thinking.

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Veteran Democratic strategist James Carville, who served on the 1992 Bill Clinton campaign and helped coin the phrase, “It’s the economy, stupid,” is questioning whether President Donald Trump is deliberately sinking the Republican Party’s chances in the November 3 midterm elections.

On his Politics War Room podcast with co-host Al Hunt, Carville argued that the president’s regular controversial public statements do little to help his party retain control of Congress.

President Donald Trump attends UFC 314 at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida, Saturday, April 12, 2025.

Iran is increasingly striking commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Just as oil exports were returning to normal levels, Iran has intensified its attacks on the vital waterway. The number of vessels that have left the Persian Gulf has decreased over the past fortnight.

With less than four weeks until the U.S. midterm elections, some wonder whether Tehran’s sudden, heightened enforcement has a political motive.

JOINT BASE ELMENDORF-RICHARDSON, Alaska – A U.S.

Brent Crude Continues to Trade Above $100/Barrel – As of press time, industry data shows Brent Crude trading at $102.83 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate trades at $90.33 per barrel.

Prices continue to reflect the ongoing Middle East conflict.

Oil fields. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

Oil Tanker. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

Welcome to The Adversarial. Every other week, we’ll provide you with expert analysis on America’s greatest challengers: China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, and jihadists. Read more below.***IranIn late September, U.S. and Iranian negotiators engaged in indirect talks for the first time since the memorandum of understanding they struck in June fell apart. On Oct. 8, U.S. President Donald Trump said “productive discussions” were underway. But it will take some doing to break the deadlock.

Iran’s Hormuz Attacks Have an Eye On The Midterms – Iran can read a calendar, and they know what is right around the corner.

With less than a month until Americans head to the polls for the midterm elections, Tehran is turning up the heat in the Strait of Hormuz. The Washington Post reported that Iran hit at least nine vessels in the strait last week, a level of violence not seen in months, according to United Nations data and the maritime tracking firm Kpler. 

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President Donald Trump may face a problem more consequential than his falling approval ratings: his own supporters’ lack of enthusiasm for voting in November’s midterms.

A new Reuters/Ipsos survey reveals a substantial enthusiasm gap between the two presidential coalitions from 2024. Among voters who backed Kamala Harris, 48% say they’re very enthusiastic about voting November 3, but among voters who backed Donald Trump, just 30% report enthusiasm.

Patria is expanding its industrial presence in Latvia with a new military vehicle facility at the Valmiera Industrial and Export Park.

Might Trump Strike Iran After All? – U.S. President Donald Trump may have publicly ruled out new military strikes against Iran before the midterm elections, but the security situation in the Middle East suggests that another strike could still be imminent.

Warnings from American diplomats, on top of continued attacks on commercial shipping and a worsening missile campaign against Saudi Arabia, have created an environment in which it looks difficult for the United States to refrain from launching new attacks.